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Monday, December 10, 2007

My Hands Are Tied

We've had a very big run in such a short time and you have to stop and think that perhaps a 50 basis point cut is factored into the market. I've been gradually liquidating my positions since the end of last week into this strength and have booked incredible gains. I would hate to give that up going into the Fed's decision tomorrow and I wouldn't be surprised to see a selloff especially if they cut only 25. 50% of my money is going long and the other 50% in cash. I also have stuff to do this week so I won't have time to watch the market or posts. LDK has been a gem and I was emotionally torn when I chopped my position in that to half. I know it has a better chance of going higher in the long run, but it is way overbought in the short term and I expect a pullback. Even if it continues to jettison, it's never a bad thing to take profits and manage risk. Discipline over emotions when it comes to stocks.

My position for this week are either swing trades/long-term investments:
6% LDK (Feeling sad having parted with half my shares)
5% ETFC (Will get bought out and/or turnaround...great price/book ratio)
2% USU (Small position on a revenge trade)
8% GWDC (Way too deep in this spec play...lots of good news and I will scale out on a pop)
7% WGI.TO (I love gold, especially companies that are highly leveraged as gold futures rise)
6% FR.V (Silver is pretty awesome as well)
5% FSY.TO (Uranium is the way of the future)
5% BBP.V (Great price/book ratio...linked with the Lundin Group...big discount since they have struggled to drill successfull wells...properties are very strong)
2% PYR.V (5-10 bagger on a comparable basis)
2% WNP.V (Getting killed, but I like the prospects...invested a little too much)
2% BDY.TO (Poor investment...trying to get money out...stay away)
50% cash (Bull market or bear market? I'm ready to go either way)

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